Washington, D.C. (Agencies): Concerns are mounting over US intentions in Panama as the Trump administration reportedly explores “credible military options” to secure access to the Panama Canal. The move, aimed at strengthening the US presence and limiting China’s influence, has sparked fears of a potential military confrontation.
According to reports, the US Southern Command is drafting strategies that range from partnering with Panama’s security forces to the more extreme option of seizing the canal by force. The decision to deploy military force, however, hinges on Panama’s willingness to cooperate with the United States. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has already reviewed these plans and is expected to visit Panama in April to discuss the matter further.
The Panama Canal, completed in 1914, is a 50-mile-long artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. It was constructed by the United States after an earlier French attempt failed due to engineering challenges and tropical diseases. The canal revolutionized global trade by providing a shortcut for ships, eliminating the need for the lengthy and hazardous journey around Cape Horn at the southern tip of South America.
The canal remained under US control until 1999, when it was handed over to Panama under the Torrijos-Carter Treaties. Despite this transfer, the canal continues to hold immense strategic and economic importance for the United States. Over 70% of the goods transiting the canal are either destined for or originate from US ports, making it a critical link in global supply chains and US trade routes.
The Panama Canal is not only vital for commerce but also for US national security. It allows the US Navy to quickly move vessels between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, enhancing military readiness. Additionally, the canal’s neutrality and uninterrupted operation are crucial for maintaining global maritime stability.
Recent Chinese investments in Panama, including port operations near the canal, have raised alarms in Washington about potential foreign influence. The Trump administration’s focus on the canal reflects concerns over safeguarding US interests and countering China’s growing presence in the region.
China has made substantial investments in Panama, primarily through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Projects include infrastructure developments such as commercial ports, a cruise ship terminal, and a proposed Panama Colon Container Port, with an estimated investment of $900 million. China’s growing economic footprint in Panama is part of its broader strategy to secure trade routes and expand global influence.
If the United States pursues military action in Panama, the repercussions could be significant. First, such a move could disrupt the operations of the Panama Canal, leading to global trade delays and increased shipping costs. The economic ripple effects would likely be felt worldwide.
Geopolitically, a US attack could strain relations with Latin American nations, many of which have opposed US interventions in the past. This might create openings for rival powers, like China, to solidify their influence in the region. Moreover, a military conflict could result in civilian casualties, displacement, and a humanitarian crisis in Panama.
China, as a significant investor in Panama, would likely react strongly to such a move. Beijing could use diplomatic channels to rally international opposition against the US and might leverage its economic influence globally to counteract any American aggression. An intensified US-China confrontation could escalate tensions between the two superpowers and affect their broader geopolitical rivalry.
On the international stage, the US could face legal and ethical backlash, with accusations of violating Panama’s sovereignty. This would further tarnish America’s global image as a defender of democracy and human rights. Regional instability and the potential for heightened tensions with China remain significant risks.
The current developments evoke memories of the 1989 US invasion of Panama, codenamed “Operation Just Cause.” Relations between the US and Panama had soured in the late 1980s, leading to a military operation under President George H.W. Bush. The mission aimed to overthrow Panamanian leader Manuel Noriega, a former US ally who had fallen out of favor due to allegations of drug trafficking and election fraud.
The operation began on December 20, 1989, with over 27,680 US troops and 300 aircraft deployed to Panama. Key locations, including Panama City and strategic airfields, were swiftly seized. The invasion led to the collapse of the Panama Defense Forces (PDF) and Noriega’s surrender two weeks later. The US justified the operation by citing democracy, human rights, and the canal’s neutrality.
As tensions escalate, the Panamanian government has reiterated its commitment to defending its sovereignty and maintaining the canal’s neutrality. The situation remains fluid, with the international community closely monitoring the unfolding developments.